Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
Real Valladolid vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 0
VAD
28%
30%
42%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VAD
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
ESP
0 - 1
VAD
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
VAD
0 - 1
ATM
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
VAD
1 - 0
MAL
56%
26%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
VCF
2 - 2
ZAR
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
ZAR
0 - 1
VAD
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1989 |
ELC
1 - 4
ZAR
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1989 |
ZAR
0 - 1
CAD
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1989 |
ZAR
2 - 1
ESP
58%
24%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |