Real Valladolid vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
ATM
7 - 0
VAD
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
VAD
4 - 2
ATH
40%
22%
38%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
SEV
4 - 0
VAD
73%
15%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
VAD
2 - 0
DEP
52%
22%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
VAD
0 - 1
ALC
69%
17%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
FCB
2 - 1
MUR
83%
10%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATM
25%
22%
54%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ATH
5 - 1
MUR
86%
8%
5%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
MUR
3 - 2
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
MUR
2 - 0
DEP
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +2 |