Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 2-3
Real Valladolid vs Real Betis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1977 |
VAD
1 - 1
CAD
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
CAS
3 - 1
VAD
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
VAD
2 - 1
PON
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
LEV
0 - 3
VAD
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
VAD
0 - 1
OVI
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Betis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1977 |
BET
0 - 1
MAL
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
RMA
0 - 1
BET
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1977 |
BET
2 - 1
RAC
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
UDL
1 - 1
BET
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 1
BET
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |