Valentine Phoenix vs Newcastle Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
45.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
8º
8º
39
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 9 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valentine Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
MAI
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 0
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 4
BRO
20%
20%
60%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
VAL
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
VAL
2 - 0
WBE
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Newcastle Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 1
CHU
57%
19%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 1
NLE
86%
9%
5%
|
29 | 10 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 1
CHA
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BRO
3 - 0
HAM
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 0
HAM
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |