Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-2
Valencia vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.3%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1963 |
ROM
1 - 0
VCF
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 0
VCF
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 0
VCF
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
VCF
8 - 1
ELD
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 51 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1963 |
VCF
3 - 0
ROM
68%
17%
14%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 0
VCF
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
OSA
2 - 1
CDT
86%
9%
5%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
CDT
4 - 2
OSA
46%
23%
31%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 2
CDT
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CDT
0 - 1
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |