LaLiga round 5

Valencia vs Sevilla analysis

Valencia Sevilla
86 ELO 83
6.4% Tilt -1.3%
96º General ELO ranking 58º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
68.6%
Valencia
16.6%
Draw
14.8%
Sevilla

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
Valencia
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.8%
Win probability
Sevilla
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valencia
-3%
-3%
Sevilla

ELO progression

Valencia
Sevilla
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 1953
DEP
RC Deportivo
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
33%
24%
43%
86 74 12 0
27 Sep. 1953
VCF
Valencia
3 - 0
Real Oviedo
OVI
79%
13%
9%
86 71 15 0
20 Sep. 1953
RAC
Racing
3 - 1
Valencia
VCF
41%
23%
36%
86 76 10 0
13 Sep. 1953
VCF
Valencia
3 - 0
Athletic
ATH
60%
19%
21%
86 86 0 0
06 Jul. 1953
SCP
Sporting CP
4 - 1
Valencia
VCF
75%
13%
11%
86 88 2 0

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Oct. 1953
SEV
Sevilla
1 - 0
Celta
CEL
72%
15%
13%
83 77 6 0
27 Sep. 1953
SPO
Real Sporting
3 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
38%
24%
38%
83 75 8 0
20 Sep. 1953
SEV
Sevilla
3 - 1
Real Valladolid
VAD
75%
14%
11%
83 79 4 0
13 Sep. 1953
RJA
Real Jaén
3 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
33%
25%
43%
83 62 21 0
24 May. 1953
ATM
Atlético
4 - 2
Sevilla
SEV
72%
15%
14%
83 83 0 0