Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
XER
0 - 0
VCF
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
VIL
2 - 2
VCF
16%
24%
61%
|
77 | 26 | 51 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VCF
3 - 2
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
RMC
1 - 2
VCF
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
FIG
0 - 1
VCF
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 2
FIG
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1986 |
ATB
2 - 1
RAY
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
MAL
1 - 1
RAY
55%
26%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
RAY
1 - 1
LOG
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1986 |
REC
3 - 1
RAY
58%
24%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |