Valencia vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 0
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
LEV
0 - 1
VCF
22%
25%
53%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
4 - 2
VCF
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
VCF
2 - 1
ESP
70%
19%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
VCF
0 - 0
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FCB
4 - 1
MAL
89%
9%
3%
|
80 | 97 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
MAL
1 - 1
ATH
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 3
SEV
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 2
MAL
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
SEV
5 - 3
MAL
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |