Copa del Rey 1/16

Global 6-1

Valencia vs CD Castellón analysis

Valencia CD Castellón
83 ELO 50
-12.3% Tilt -19%
96º General ELO ranking 1235º
11º Country ELO ranking 47º
ELO win probability
82.7%
Valencia
11.7%
Draw
5.7%
CD Castellón

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
Valencia
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.7%
Win probability
CD Castellón
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Valencia
CD Castellón
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valencia
Valencia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 1961
CAS
CD Castellón
0 - 0
Valencia
VCF
25%
25%
50%
83 49 34 0
06 May. 1961
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
CD Castellón
CAS
83%
11%
5%
83 49 34 0
30 Apr. 1961
ELC
Elche
4 - 1
Valencia
VCF
48%
23%
29%
84 71 13 -1
22 Apr. 1961
VCF
Valencia
0 - 0
Real Sociedad
RSO
68%
19%
13%
84 76 8 0
09 Apr. 1961
ATM
Atlético
2 - 2
Valencia
VCF
79%
13%
9%
84 87 3 0

Matches

CD Castellón
CD Castellón
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 1961
CAS
CD Castellón
0 - 0
Valencia
VCF
25%
25%
50%
49 83 34 0
06 May. 1961
VCF
Valencia
1 - 1
CD Castellón
CAS
83%
11%
5%
49 83 34 0
30 Apr. 1961
MAL
CD Málaga
0 - 2
CD Castellón
CAS
75%
15%
10%
47 53 6 +2
23 Apr. 1961
CAS
CD Castellón
0 - 0
CF Extremadura
EXT
50%
23%
27%
47 50 3 0
09 Apr. 1961
CAS
CD Castellón
2 - 0
Córdoba CF
CCF
36%
25%
39%
46 61 15 +1