Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 6-1
Valencia vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
CAS
0 - 0
VCF
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1961 |
VCF
1 - 1
CAS
83%
11%
5%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ELC
4 - 1
VCF
48%
23%
29%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1961 |
VCF
0 - 0
RSO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ATM
2 - 2
VCF
79%
13%
9%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1961 |
CAS
0 - 0
VCF
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1961 |
VCF
1 - 1
CAS
83%
11%
5%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
MAL
0 - 2
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CAS
0 - 0
EXT
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
CAS
2 - 0
CCF
36%
25%
39%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +2 |