Valence vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
36.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
NIC
0 - 0
VAL
48%
29%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
VAL
0 - 2
NÎM
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
STL
3 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
VAL
1 - 1
GUI
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
AMI
0 - 0
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1999 |
AJA
1 - 0
CAN
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
CAE
1 - 1
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
0 - 1
LMU
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
NIO
1 - 0
AJA
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
2 - 1
ESW
61%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |