Vale of Leithen vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
41.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vale of Leithen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SPA
4 - 1
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EDI
3 - 1
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
AFC
45%
23%
31%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
PRE
2 - 2
VAL
20%
21%
59%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 4
EAS
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GRE
0 - 2
GAL
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
GRE
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
WHI
2 - 1
GRE
57%
22%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 2
PRE
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
GRE
3 - 0
THR
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 15 | 25 | +1 |