Valdefierro vs Fraga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valdefierro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SFE
2 - 1
CFV
23%
24%
54%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 0
CFV
40%
25%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CFV
0 - 1
AND
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ACF
2 - 0
CFV
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CFV
3 - 1
ATC
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fraga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
5 - 1
HER
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SFE
1 - 2
FRA
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 2
QUI
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AND
2 - 3
FRA
35%
24%
42%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
ACF
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |