Campeonato de Portugal Grupo B Jor. 28

Valadares Gaia vs Lusitania FC analysis

Valadares Gaia Lusitania FC
21 ELO 47
-11.5% Tilt -3.5%
6422º General ELO ranking 3787º
119º Country ELO ranking 49º
ELO win probability
9.9%
Valadares Gaia
21.1%
Draw
69%
Lusitania FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
Valadares Gaia
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
69%
Win probability
Lusitania FC
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Valadares Gaia
-63%
+17%
Lusitania FC

ELO progression

Valadares Gaia
Lusitania FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Valadares Gaia
Valadares Gaia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2020
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 0
Lusitano FCV
LUS
21%
21%
58%
20 31 11 0
01 Mar. 2020
COI
Coimbrões
1 - 1
Valadares Gaia
VAL
79%
13%
8%
20 32 12 0
23 Feb. 2020
VAL
Valadares Gaia
0 - 0
Vila Real
VIL
29%
21%
49%
19 23 4 +1
16 Feb. 2020
CAS
Castro Daire
2 - 1
Valadares Gaia
VAL
80%
13%
7%
20 36 16 -1
08 Feb. 2020
VAL
Valadares Gaia
1 - 4
Leça FC
LEC
13%
18%
69%
21 40 19 -1

Matches

Lusitania FC
Lusitania FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2020
LUS
Lusitania FC
1 - 3
AD Sanjoanense
SAN
70%
19%
12%
48 38 10 0
01 Mar. 2020
LEC
Leça FC
0 - 2
Lusitania FC
LUS
26%
27%
48%
48 39 9 0
23 Feb. 2020
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 0
Gondomar
GON
73%
18%
9%
47 37 10 +1
16 Feb. 2020
VIL
Vila Real
1 - 3
Lusitania FC
LUS
12%
22%
65%
47 25 22 0
09 Feb. 2020
LUS
Lusitania FC
2 - 2
USC Paredes
PAR
77%
16%
7%
47 34 13 0
X