V-Varen Nagasaki vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
KYO
0 - 0
VVA
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VVA
0 - 1
TOK
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
VVA
0 - 1
MAT
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
JEF
0 - 2
VVA
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
VVA
2 - 0
TOC
41%
27%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
THE
1 - 1
GAM
6%
13%
81%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
THE
2 - 2
VIS
13%
22%
64%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
GAI
1 - 1
THE
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
GIR
3 - 2
THE
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
THE
2 - 1
FAG
27%
30%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |