Utrera vs Atlético Onubense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
19.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
10º
3º
22
12º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 67 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 60 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 53 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 39 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 36 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 35 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 28 |
17º
|
36% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 27 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
80.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
14.5% | 88% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UDT
1 - 3
UTR
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
UTR
2 - 1
COR
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UTR
0 - 1
CRD
66%
19%
15%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
UTR
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UTR
2 - 0
CAR
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Onubense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
REC
1 - 0
SRQ
23%
24%
53%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BOL
1 - 1
REC
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REC
2 - 0
LAP
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
UDT
1 - 1
REC
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
REC
2 - 5
COR
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |