Utebo vs Anguiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
5º
25
8º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 66 |
1º
|
53.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 59 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 53 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 43 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 40 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 37 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
36.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
76.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
4% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
64% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
32% | 27% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 55% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utebo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ARE
0 - 0
UFC
46%
28%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SDL
0 - 1
UFC
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
UFC
2 - 1
CLH
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
UFC
47%
27%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
EIB
1 - 0
UFC
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ANG
1 - 3
EIB
31%
25%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 4
TUD
31%
26%
44%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
EJE
2 - 1
ANG
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ANG
2 - 1
IZA
35%
25%
40%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
GER
1 - 0
ANG
58%
23%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |