UTC Cajamarca vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1986 |
UTC
1 - 3
UNI
45%
23%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1986 |
JWI
2 - 0
UTC
49%
23%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
UTC
67%
18%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
UNI
2 - 0
UTC
70%
16%
13%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1986 |
UNI
3 - 0
BOL
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1986 |
JWI
1 - 2
BOL
40%
24%
36%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 0
UNI
58%
20%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 1
UTC
67%
18%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |