UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Binacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
12º
15º
15º
0
14º
16º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
16º
|
0 | 34 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 31 |
2º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
0 | 31 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
0 | 29 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 29 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
0 | 29 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 29 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 28 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
0 | 28 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
0 | 26 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 25 |
11º
|
4% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 23 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 22 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 22 |
14º
|
5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 20 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 19 |
16º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
0 | 19 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
0 | 13 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 13 |
19º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UTC Cajamarca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
UTC
1 - 1
HUA
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SBO
1 - 1
UTC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
UTC
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
UTC
0 - 1
ALI
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
AGP
4 - 0
UTC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Binacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BIN
6 - 1
FCS
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
BIN
29%
26%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
UCV
0 - 0
BIN
16%
21%
63%
|
65 | 18 | 47 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
BIN
0 - 0
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BIN
2 - 1
UCV
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 17 | 47 | +1 |