Confederation Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
USM Alger vs Al-Masry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Alger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
USM
3 - 0
AML
79%
15%
7%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
USM
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
USM
3 - 0
ALQ
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
USM
3 - 1
BBA
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 0
USM
49%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Masry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
USM
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
5 - 3
NEM
59%
25%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
MIS
0 - 0
ALM
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +3 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 0
ALH
79%
15%
6%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
2 - 2
ALI
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |