Nerostellati Pratola vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
76.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nerostellati Pratola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VIS
2 - 0
USN
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
USN
0 - 3
PIN
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ASD
4 - 0
USN
90%
8%
3%
|
10 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
USN
0 - 1
SAN
9%
17%
74%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 0
USN
90%
8%
2%
|
11 | 39 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JES
0 - 0
FAB
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 0
JES
50%
23%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
JES
0 - 1
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
JES
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
JES
1 - 4
VIS
26%
27%
48%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |