USC Eugendorf vs Kuchl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
66.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
5º
15º
7º
79
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Eugendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
2 - 2
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
USC
2 - 1
BUR
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
USC
39%
22%
40%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 2
ANI
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 4
USC
38%
21%
40%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kuchl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
KUC
0 - 1
SEE
56%
21%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 3
KUC
7%
14%
78%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UFV
0 - 6
KUC
21%
23%
56%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
KUC
5 - 1
BUR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 4
KUC
18%
19%
63%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |