Usakspor vs Fatsa Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
9º
4º
18
3º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 65 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 58 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
19 | 53 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 50 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 49 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 47 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 43 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 38 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 36 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 35 |
13º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 26 |
14º
|
31% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 23 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 15 |
16º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 1% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 2.5% |
|
Next round
|
58.5% | 41% |
|
Mid-table
|
15.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Usakspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TUR
0 - 3
USA
15%
18%
68%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
USA
1 - 1
IKG
63%
18%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
USA
0 - 1
BUR
22%
21%
58%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 1
USA
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
USA
3 - 0
NSG
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
MAZ
74%
16%
9%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
5 - 0
TUR
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 15 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
SIL
26%
25%
49%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
IKG
0 - 0
FAT
42%
24%
35%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 3
ASK
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |