Triestina vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
SSB
1 - 0
TRI
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SSS
0 - 0
TRI
38%
29%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASC
46%
25%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
PES
1 - 2
TRI
51%
28%
21%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ACM
0 - 1
PAR
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASC
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +2 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 0
PAR
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 0
SSB
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 0
USC
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |