Triestina vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
TRI
1 - 1
JUV
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
ACL
2 - 2
TRI
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
0 - 1
ACM
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
TRI
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
TRI
2 - 0
LAZ
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1939 |
ROM
3 - 0
NOV
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
NOV
0 - 0
MOD
57%
20%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1939 |
INT
2 - 1
NOV
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1939 |
ACM
2 - 3
NOV
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1939 |
ASL
0 - 1
NOV
48%
23%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |