Serie A round 16

Triestina vs Napoli analysis

Triestina Napoli
70 ELO 74
-32.4% Tilt -17.4%
2756º General ELO ranking
101º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
38.6%
Triestina
25.9%
Draw
35.5%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
Triestina
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.5%
Win probability
Napoli
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Triestina
-3%
+5%
Napoli

ELO progression

Triestina
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Triestina
Triestina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1948
MOD
Modena
0 - 0
Triestina
TRI
63%
20%
17%
70 79 9 0
28 Dec. 1947
TOR
Torino
6 - 0
Triestina
TRI
91%
7%
3%
70 90 20 0
21 Dec. 1947
TRI
Triestina
1 - 0
Vicenza
VIC
39%
26%
36%
69 75 6 +1
07 Dec. 1947
BOL
Bologna
0 - 0
Triestina
TRI
74%
15%
10%
69 81 12 0
30 Nov. 1947
TRI
Triestina
1 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
39%
26%
35%
69 75 6 0

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 1948
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 1
Napoli
NAP
52%
23%
26%
75 75 0 0
28 Dec. 1947
LIV
Livorno
1 - 0
Napoli
NAP
54%
22%
25%
75 76 1 0
21 Dec. 1947
NAP
Napoli
1 - 2
Roma
ROM
47%
24%
28%
75 78 3 0
07 Dec. 1947
NAP
Napoli
5 - 1
Modena
MOD
43%
26%
30%
75 80 5 0
30 Nov. 1947
SAM
Sampdoria
2 - 1
Napoli
NAP
62%
19%
20%
75 75 0 0