Triestina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 2
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
FRO
2 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 0
BAR
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 0
TRI
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LEC
2 - 1
BOL
47%
27%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEC
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
ABN
0 - 0
LEC
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 3
JUV
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CRO
1 - 3
LEC
36%
26%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |