Triestina vs FC Südtirol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
3 - 2
PER
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 1
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
TRI
1 - 2
SSB
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FRO
2 - 1
TRI
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
LAT
0 - 2
TRI
18%
25%
57%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC Südtirol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 2
ACP
57%
25%
18%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
1 - 3
FCS
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 0
VIR
29%
30%
42%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
SSB
1 - 1
FCS
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
FCS
2 - 0
POR
22%
27%
52%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |