National 3 Grupo I round 1

US Thionville Lusitanos vs Strasbourg Koenigshoffen analysis

US Thionville Lusitanos Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
8 ELO 8
0.2% Tilt 0%
6610º General ELO ranking 10031º
146º Country ELO ranking 292º
ELO win probability
30%
US Thionville Lusitanos
21.4%
Draw
48.7%
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
US Thionville Lusitanos
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
48.7%
Win probability
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
US Thionville Lusitanos
+97%
+15%
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen

Points and table prediction

US Thionville Lusitanos
Their league position
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
34
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
US Thionville Lusitanos
55
55
100%
Stade de Reims II
48
48
100%
Troyes II
47
47
100%
Thaon
39
40
100%
Reims Sainte-Anne
36
36
87%
Metz II
10º
32
35
0%
Sarre-Union
35
35
24%
Nancy II
35
35
24%
Prix lès Mézières
33
34
32%
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
34
34
10º
13%
Belfort
11º
32
32
11º
73.5%
Raon-l'Etape
12º
32
32
12º
73.5%
Strasbourg II
13º
30
30
13º
100%
Métropole Troyenne
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
US Thionville Lusitanos
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

US Thionville Lusitanos
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
OBE
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
0 - 1
Angers SCO
ANG
4%
12%
84%
9 69 60 0
07 Jan. 2023
OBE
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
0 - 0
Clermont
CLE
4%
11%
86%
9 73 64 0
20 Nov. 2022
OBE
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
2 - 1
32%
22%
46%
8 9 1 +1
30 Oct. 2022
OBE
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
1 - 0
ES De Gandrange
EDG
44%
22%
34%
7 7 0 +1
07 Feb. 2021
OBE
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
1 - 2
FCSR Haguenau
FCS
12%
17%
71%
8 44 36 -1