Aigues Mortes vs Fabrègues analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 1
SAM
45%
22%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
FCA
59%
20%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 2
TOU
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AGD
2 - 0
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
SAM
3 - 1
CAS
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 0
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 0
FAB
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
FAB
58%
23%
20%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 1
ROD
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 0
FAB
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |