Poggibonsi vs VF Colligiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
USP
2 - 1
ASC
38%
27%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
FCC
3 - 0
USP
51%
24%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ACG
1 - 2
USP
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
USP
2 - 1
ROV
54%
24%
23%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
5 - 2
USP
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
VF Colligiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VFC
1 - 1
CUO
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
ACS
2 - 0
VFC
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
VFC
2 - 0
FCC
24%
25%
51%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | +3 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASF
2 - 1
VFC
71%
18%
12%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VFC
2 - 1
CAR
27%
26%
46%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |