National 3 Hauts-de-France round 24

US Maubeuge vs Valenciennes II analysis

US Maubeuge Valenciennes II
28 ELO 32
-13.9% Tilt -11.9%
29148º General ELO ranking 9298º
794º Country ELO ranking 259º
ELO win probability
29.3%
US Maubeuge
24.7%
Draw
46%
Valenciennes II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
US Maubeuge
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46%
Win probability
Valenciennes II
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
US Maubeuge
-7%
-46%
Valenciennes II

Points and table prediction

US Maubeuge
Their league position
Valenciennes II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
13º
10º
47
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Feignies
57
60
100%
Lens II
47
50
85.5%
Valenciennes II
47
47
85.5%
Olympique Marcquois
44
45
100%
Iris Club de Croix
40
43
73.5%
Vimy
10º
36
39
33%
Lille II
37
37
25%
Chantilly
37
37
29.5%
Compiègne
36
37
6.5%
US Maubeuge
37
37
10º
20.5%
Amiens SC II
11º
29
30
11º
100%
Amiens AC
12º
19
19
12º
39%
ES Lambres
13º
18
19
13º
39%
Longueau
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
US Maubeuge
Valenciennes II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
79.5% 100%
Relegation
20.5% 0%

ELO progression

US Maubeuge
Valenciennes II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

US Maubeuge
US Maubeuge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
VIM
Vimy
1 - 0
US Maubeuge
USM
41%
23%
36%
28 25 3 0
22 Apr. 2023
USM
US Maubeuge
3 - 1
Amiens AC
AAC
59%
23%
19%
27 23 4 +1
15 Apr. 2023
COM
Compiègne
3 - 1
US Maubeuge
USM
36%
25%
40%
30 24 6 -3
01 Apr. 2023
USM
US Maubeuge
0 - 2
Longueau
LON
78%
14%
8%
31 16 15 -1
25 Mar. 2023
USM
US Maubeuge
0 - 0
Iris Club de Croix
IRI
36%
25%
39%
30 34 4 +1

Matches

Valenciennes II
Valenciennes II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes II
1 - 2
Iris Club de Croix
IRI
54%
23%
24%
35 32 3 0
22 Apr. 2023
LEN
Lens II
0 - 1
Valenciennes II
VAL
66%
20%
15%
34 40 6 +1
15 Apr. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes II
1 - 2
ES Lambres
ESL
77%
14%
9%
35 20 15 -1
02 Apr. 2023
AMI
Amiens SC II
1 - 2
Valenciennes II
VAL
34%
24%
42%
34 27 7 +1
25 Mar. 2023
VAL
Valenciennes II
2 - 1
Lille II
LIL
49%
23%
29%
33 32 1 +1