Grosseto vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 0
GRO
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
GRO
2 - 1
MUR
85%
11%
4%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CYN
1 - 3
GRO
8%
19%
73%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
GRO
0 - 1
RIE
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OLB
2 - 1
GRO
17%
23%
60%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NUO
2 - 2
ARZ
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
TRA
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SAS
2 - 1
ARZ
54%
24%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARZ
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |