Grosseto vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 0
GRO
29%
27%
44%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
GRO
2 - 2
SAS
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 1
MAN
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 3
GRO
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GRO
0 - 4
CRO
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
58%
25%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
CES
0 - 1
SAS
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 0
CES
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
CES
1 - 0
ASC
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |