Calcio Foggia vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ASA
0 - 1
USF
14%
25%
61%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
USF
1 - 1
GIU
75%
18%
7%
|
62 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
USF
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 0
USF
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
USF
3 - 1
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 2
PES
32%
27%
41%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 3
VER
36%
30%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
REG
0 - 1
VIR
51%
27%
22%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
PRG
1 - 0
VIR
50%
27%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 1
GAL
24%
28%
49%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |