Serie A round 23

Cremonese vs Cagliari analysis

Cremonese Cagliari
79 ELO 84
-9.1% Tilt -6.3%
276º General ELO ranking 270º
22º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
33.6%
Cremonese
27.5%
Draw
38.9%
Cagliari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
Cremonese
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
38.9%
Win probability
Cagliari
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cremonese
-7%
+2%
Cagliari

ELO progression

Cremonese
Cagliari
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cremonese
Cremonese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 1995
USF
Calcio Foggia
0 - 1
Cremonese
USC
60%
23%
17%
78 82 4 0
26 Feb. 1995
ACM
Milan
3 - 1
Cremonese
USC
66%
22%
12%
78 90 12 0
19 Feb. 1995
USC
Cremonese
0 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
38%
28%
34%
78 84 6 0
12 Feb. 1995
NAP
Napoli
1 - 0
Cremonese
USC
64%
21%
15%
78 85 7 0
29 Jan. 1995
USC
Cremonese
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
27%
29%
44%
78 89 11 0

Matches

Cagliari
Cagliari
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 1995
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 1
SSC Bari
BAR
55%
26%
19%
84 76 8 0
26 Feb. 1995
BRE
Brescia
2 - 3
Cagliari
CAG
30%
28%
43%
84 75 9 0
19 Feb. 1995
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 0
Parma
PAR
31%
30%
39%
84 89 5 0
12 Feb. 1995
ACM
Milan
1 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
59%
24%
17%
83 90 7 +1
29 Jan. 1995
CAG
Cagliari
2 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
42%
28%
30%
83 84 1 0