National round 31

US Boulogne vs Pau FC analysis

US Boulogne Pau FC
59 ELO 58
-8.2% Tilt 7.1%
2038º General ELO ranking 968º
52º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
49%
US Boulogne
27%
Draw
24%
Pau FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
US Boulogne
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
24%
Win probability
Pau FC
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
US Boulogne
+18%
-1%
Pau FC

ELO progression

US Boulogne
Pau FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

US Boulogne
US Boulogne
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2018
RED
Red Star
2 - 1
US Boulogne
USB
48%
26%
27%
59 61 2 0
06 Apr. 2018
USB
US Boulogne
2 - 1
Creteil
LUS
53%
25%
22%
59 54 5 0
30 Mar. 2018
DUN
Dunkerque
0 - 0
US Boulogne
USB
42%
26%
31%
59 59 0 0
23 Mar. 2018
LYO
Lyon-Duchère
1 - 0
US Boulogne
USB
30%
26%
44%
60 55 5 -1
20 Mar. 2018
USB
US Boulogne
1 - 1
Concarneau
CON
49%
27%
25%
60 58 2 0

Matches

Pau FC
Pau FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2018
PAU
Pau FC
1 - 2
Rodez
ROD
48%
27%
25%
58 55 3 0
06 Apr. 2018
SAN
Sannois Gratien
2 - 2
Pau FC
PAU
42%
28%
31%
58 55 3 0
31 Mar. 2018
PAU
Pau FC
4 - 1
Concarneau
CON
42%
28%
30%
57 57 0 +1
23 Mar. 2018
LES
Les Herbiers
0 - 1
Pau FC
PAU
52%
26%
22%
56 60 4 +1
20 Mar. 2018
CHO
Cholet
1 - 0
Pau FC
PAU
40%
27%
34%
57 52 5 -1