Avellino vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
20.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
FCC
1 - 0
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
AVE
0 - 0
ASS
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
PIS
2 - 2
AVE
51%
28%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
AVE
0 - 0
BAR
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 0
AVE
63%
24%
13%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ASC
5 - 2
USC
66%
23%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
USC
1 - 0
SAM
40%
31%
29%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
USC
0 - 0
SSS
47%
30%
23%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
TAR
0 - 0
USC
60%
25%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
USC
2 - 1
TER
43%
30%
27%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |