Avellino vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 2
PRG
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
PES
3 - 2
AVE
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 1
LAT
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 3
CAG
18%
27%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
4 - 1
VIR
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAT
39%
30%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 1
VIR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |