Avellino vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 2
AVE
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
2 - 1
SAS
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
NOC
2 - 0
AVE
27%
30%
44%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 1
LAQ
63%
22%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 2
ASC
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAT
2 - 0
VIR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VIR
3 - 1
TAR
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
LOD
1 - 0
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
PES
3 - 0
VIR
71%
16%
13%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |