Avellino vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
TER
3 - 1
AVE
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
AVE
0 - 0
PRG
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 0
REG
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
COM
2 - 1
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
40%
29%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 0
REG
68%
21%
10%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOV
41%
31%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
PRG
3 - 1
NOV
41%
32%
27%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
NOV
1 - 0
TAR
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
TER
1 - 0
NOV
61%
24%
15%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |