Avellino vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
31.8%
Draw
0-0
15.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.8%
25.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
ASS
3 - 1
AVE
31%
32%
37%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 1
MES
51%
28%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
EMP
0 - 0
AVE
39%
31%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
AVE
1 - 0
PAD
54%
28%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
LIC
2 - 1
AVE
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAR
60%
26%
14%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
47%
30%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 0
UDI
49%
29%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
EMP
1 - 1
BAR
41%
32%
27%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
BAR
3 - 0
USC
49%
29%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |