III Liga round 10

Ursus Warszawa vs Znicz Biała Piska analysis

Ursus Warszawa Znicz Biała Piska
28 ELO 32
-2.2% Tilt -17.4%
9494º General ELO ranking 8588º
175º Country ELO ranking 163º
ELO win probability
43.5%
Ursus Warszawa
23.4%
Draw
33.1%
Znicz Biała Piska

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
Ursus Warszawa
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
33.1%
Win probability
Znicz Biała Piska
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ursus Warszawa
-1%
-8%
Znicz Biała Piska

ELO progression

Ursus Warszawa
Znicz Biała Piska
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ursus Warszawa
Ursus Warszawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2019
PGM
GKS Pogon
1 - 0
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
15%
22%
64%
31 15 16 0
14 Sep. 2019
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 1
Olimpia Zambrow
OLI
30%
23%
47%
31 37 6 0
07 Sep. 2019
WAS
KS Wasilków
0 - 1
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
12%
18%
70%
31 13 18 0
31 Aug. 2019
UWA
Ursus Warszawa
1 - 2
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
LTM
31%
23%
46%
31 38 7 0
24 Aug. 2019
HUR
Huragan Morag
3 - 0
Ursus Warszawa
UWA
47%
24%
29%
33 31 2 -2

Matches

Znicz Biała Piska
Znicz Biała Piska
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2019
ZBP
Znicz Biała Piska
2 - 1
Polonia Warszawa
POL
28%
23%
49%
30 37 7 0
14 Sep. 2019
ZBP
Znicz Biała Piska
3 - 2
Broń Radom
BRA
40%
23%
37%
29 30 1 +1
07 Sep. 2019
ZBP
Znicz Biała Piska
0 - 0
RKS Radomsko
RAD
47%
22%
32%
29 29 0 0
31 Aug. 2019
SOK
Sokół Ostróda
2 - 1
Znicz Biała Piska
ZBP
68%
18%
14%
29 37 8 0
24 Aug. 2019
ZBP
Znicz Biała Piska
0 - 0
Concordia Elblag
CON
38%
23%
39%
29 32 3 0