Upington City FC vs Marumo Gallants FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+102%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
15º
6º
36
5º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Upington City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
JDR
2 - 3
UCF
72%
18%
10%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 1
UCF
71%
19%
10%
|
19 | 63 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
UCF
1 - 1
HLF
20%
24%
56%
|
19 | 61 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 1
UCF
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VFA
0 - 2
UCF
76%
17%
8%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | +2 |
Matches
Marumo Gallants FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PCF
1 - 0
MIL
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 2
MAG
47%
28%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 0
VFA
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
HLF
3 - 1
MIL
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
PRE
2 - 0
MIL
35%
28%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |