Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
UP Langreo vs Alondras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALO
0 - 3
UPL
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 2
UPL
7%
16%
77%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
UPL
2 - 1
VAL
87%
10%
3%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
3 - 1
UPL
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UPL
4 - 1
ESM
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alondras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
ALO
0 - 3
UPL
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
ALO
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ALO
4 - 1
ARO
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
CEL
2 - 3
ALO
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ALO
2 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |