UC Dublin vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
46.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
2º
8º
2º
44
1º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BRW
1 - 2
UCD
61%
20%
19%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 3
STP
9%
17%
74%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 0
USC
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SMA
3 - 0
UCD
7%
10%
83%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | -3 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 5
DUN
11%
22%
67%
|
45 | 73 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TRE
3 - 1
COB
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
GAL
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WAT
2 - 0
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 4
GAL
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |