UC Dublin vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
6º
10º
10º
58
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UC Dublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 1
BOH
18%
26%
56%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SLR
3 - 1
UCD
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
UCD
1 - 0
CAO
25%
26%
50%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
SHR
3 - 0
UCD
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
UCD
0 - 0
SHE
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 2
DRO
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
SHE
1 - 1
DUN
33%
28%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 2
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
CAO
1 - 0
DUN
23%
28%
50%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 2
SLR
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |