Universitario de Deportes vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
MEL
5 - 2
UNI
51%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 3
HUA
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 2
UNI
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
UNI
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
AYA
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2016 |
MUN
2 - 1
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
AYA
1 - 1
MUN
42%
27%
32%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MUN
0 - 0
UTC
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
ALI
1 - 1
MUN
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |