Univ. San Martín vs Deportivo Municipal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 1
LOS
45%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UCV
1 - 1
SAM
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 11 | 41 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AYA
0 - 1
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 0
SFC
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
MUN
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 1
LOS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 0
MUN
14%
20%
66%
|
60 | 9 | 51 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
MUN
3 - 2
CAN
56%
25%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |