Univ. San Martín vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
HUA
2 - 4
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 1
SAM
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SAM
1 - 1
VAL
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
ALI
3 - 3
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
CIE
2 - 0
GAR
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 1
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
CIE
1 - 2
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 3
LOS
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -2 |