Univ. San Martín vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
GAR
1 - 0
SAM
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
SAM
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
HUA
3 - 0
SAM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAM
1 - 2
ALI
37%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2016 |
ALI
3 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
COM
2 - 2
ALI
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALI
0 - 1
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GAR
3 - 1
ALI
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |